Monday, October 8, 2018

Current Mortgage Rates Rise to Start the Week

Here we go with another week. Current mortgage rates have been rising steadily over the past month, a trend that we expect to persist for the foreseeable future.

Inflation data, overseas trade negotiations, and speaking engagements from the Federal Reserve should be the main market movers this week. Read on for more details.

Where are mortgage rates going?  

The market continues to fear rising interest rates

Financial market participants are continuing to grapple with the fear that interest rates will surge in the coming weeks and months, putting stocks in a position to fall for the third consecutive day.

All of the major market indexes are in the red right now with the Dow Jones Industrial Average notably falling 106 points to start the week.

The bond market is closed today so we’ll have to wait until tomorrow to see where yields go, but in the past month we’ve already seen the yield on the 10-year Treasury note (the best market indicator of where mortgage rates are going) continue to hit levels that haven’t been reached in well over five years.

Mortgage rates tend to move in the same direction as the 10-year yield, so we’ve seen rates move higher, albeit at a slower pace, over the past month. The general consensus is that mortgage rates will continue to move higher as we approach the end of the year.

Of course, the economic data still has to match up and we’ll get a couple key inflation readings this week which investors will be closely watching.

If those reports (consumer and producer prices) come in showing inflation rising at a steady pace, we’ll likely see bond yields and mortgage rates rise steadily as they’ve been doing.

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Rate/Float Recommendation                                     

Lock now before rates move even higher          

Mortgage rates have been rising and are expected to continue doing so in the coming weeks and months. If you’re thinking about buying a home or refinancing your current mortgage, we strongly recommend that you do so sooner rather than later in order to lock in the lowest rate possible.

Learn what you can do to get the best interest rate possible.  

Today’s economic data:                   

  • Nothing

Notable events this week:       

Monday:   

  • Nothing

Tuesday:   

  • Fedspeak
  • NFIB Small Business Optimism Index

Wednesday:         

  • PPI-FD
  • Atlanta Fed Business Inflation Expectations
  • 10-Yr Note Auction

Thursday:     

  • CPI
  • Jobless Claims
  • EIA Petroleum Status Report

Friday:          

  • Import and Export Prices
  • Fedspeak
  • Consumer Sentiment

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*Terms and conditions apply.



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Monday, October 1, 2018

Current Mortgage Rates Continue to Rise Gradually

Here we go with yet another week. We should be in for a bit of action with a handful of speaking engagements from Federal Reserve officials and the September Jobs Report on Friday morning.

Mortgage rates will likely remain in a tight range but it wouldn’t be too surprising if they jumped around a little. Read on for more details.

Where are mortgage rates going?  

Mortgage rates poised to stay in tight range

Mortgage rates have been on the rise for a little over a month now.

Last week, the Federal Reserve followed through with a widely anticipated increase to the nation’s benchmark interest rate, the federal funds rate.

Financial market participants had already priced that rise into their portfolios so there was little commotion once the final verdict came through.

Looking ahead to the rest of the year, investors are giving the December meeting the greatest odds of another quarter point increase with about an 80% chance according to the CME Group’s Fed Funds Futures.

Getting back to events closer on the horizon, we have several speaking engagements from Federal Reserve officials this week.

It will be interesting to get their takes on the recent decision and see if they offer any insight into what might happen in the coming months.

Also this week, we have the monthly jobs report for September out on Friday morning.

That report is always one of the most closely watched pieces of economic data every month and there’s no reason to believe that this time around will be different. Depending on what happens, we could see mortgage rates rise or fall as we head into the weekend.

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Rate/Float Recommendation                                     

Lock now before rates move even higher          

Mortgage rates have been moving higher recently and that trend is expected to continue over the coming weeks and months.

If you’re on the market for a purchase or refinance, we strongly recommend that you take action sooner rather than later in order to get the best rate possible.

The longer you wait, the more likely it is that you will be locking in a higher rate and paying more in interest over the life of your loan.

Learn what you can do to get the best interest rate possible.  

Today’s economic data:                   

Fedspeak 

  • Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic at 8:30am
  • Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari at 11:00am
  • Boston Fed President at 12:15pm

PMI Manufacturing Index 

The PMI Manufacturing Index hit a 55.6 for September. That’s slightly above the consensus for 54.5.

ISM Mfg Index

The ISM Mfg Index hit a 59.8 in September.

Construction Spending

Construction

Notable events this week:       

Monday:   

  • Fedspeak
  • PMI Manufacturing Index
  • ISM Mfg Index
  • Construction Spending

Tuesday:   

  • Fedspeak

Wednesday:         

  • Fedspeak
  • ADP Employment Report
  • PMI Services Index
  • ISM Non-Mfg Index
  • EIA Petroleum Status Report

Thursday:     

  • Fedspeak
  • Jobless Claims
  • Factory Orders

Friday:          

  • Employment Situation
  • International Trade
  • Fedspeak

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*Terms and conditions apply.



from Total Mortgage Blog https://ift.tt/2IuosWe